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The lady is for turning

Like any admirable lady, Ms May reserves the right to change her mind. Irritants like the SNP and nonentities like Labour and the LimpDims must be side-lined while the real business of gubmint is dealt with. 08.06.2017 will be another bit of history for the UK. (Strains of Rule Britannia and the perfume of June roses.)

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  1. Boadicea
    April 18, 2017 at 12:10 pm

    As any ‘admirable lady knows’ the best time to change one’s mind is when the no one expects you to – especially when the odds are stacked in your favour!

  2. April 18, 2017 at 12:17 pm

    I suspect she will do well out of it. Labour have imploded and the SNP are becoming more and more hated by sensible Scots. Farron hasn’t done anything to appear credible or even tolerable.

  3. April 18, 2017 at 1:35 pm

    The beginning of the disintegration of Labour?

    This is from the Huffington Post today.

    A Labour MP has already announced he won’t stand for re-election under Jeremy Corbyn, as the party faces possible disaster in Theresa May’s snap election.

    Tom Blenkinsop, MP for Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland, made the announcement within an hour of May calling the June election on Tuesday morning, citing “significant and irreconcilable differences” with the Labour leader.

    Another Labour MP told a journalist “loads” would follow his example as most do not want Corbyn to lead them into a General Election.

    The “Spectator” is predicting that the Tories will take over 380 seats.

  4. April 18, 2017 at 1:54 pm

    JL: That could well be. Let’s not forget Ulster Unionist MPs. The DUP and UUP as a matter of course vote with the Tories, even though they’re separate parties.

  5. April 18, 2017 at 3:24 pm

    Christopher, I think that Labour is so divided, that I seriously doubt that it will even be able to appear to offer any kind of united alternative to the Tories. But there is a chance that a Tory landslide could also bring some risks with it. A total lack of effective opposition within parliament could make it possible for Mrs May to agree to “less than ideal terms” for some industries in the UK, in order to achieve deals in the more favoured areas of the Brexit negotiations. For example, conceding some fishing grounds and allowing some continued (reduced) financial contributions. in order to achieve the continuance of London as the major financial centre. She would be able to push pretty much whatever she liked through the house of commons even if our Gina challenged in court her right to do so. No real opposition might also come at a price.

  6. christinaosborne
    April 18, 2017 at 4:36 pm

    I second James Leck above, a likely scenario.

  7. April 18, 2017 at 4:46 pm

    JL: Yes, that is certainly a risk. The problem is that with her narrow majority a handful of Tories of the George Osborne sort could make things even more difficult. Things have been relatively quiet on the Tory side so far, but there are those who would rather not leave the Common Market — or who are willing to hand over vast contributions and all fisheries, as well as keep an unbridled freedom of movement, in perpetuity in order to achieve de facto membership in the Common Market. I am most concerned about fisheries. Significantly reduced contributions can be tolerable if the amount of money that is brought in through tax profits associated with passporting rights exceeds contributions. Fisheries, however, are another matter. There cannot be an inch ceded on that.

  8. April 18, 2017 at 6:28 pm

    Christopher, don’t you think that any decision about which industry needs the most protection, can or will be be defended as “justifiable” perhaps?. Which is worth more in income to the UK, financial services or fishing? No contest in terms of income. The fact that Mr May just happens to head up an investment fund has nothing to do with it at all and that fact will, of course, be totally ignored by those all those honourable persons sitting on the opposite side of the negotiating table. Apart from that the fact that fishing produces villages and communities where thousands of people live and actually talk to each other, maybe they even know each other well enough that they know who might need a helping hand now and then, isn’t financially quantifiable. Until, that is, you ask the NHS or social services to replace it, then it’s too expensive. Perhaps a slightly jaundiced view, but I don’t trust any of the buggers. 🙂

  9. christinaosborne
    April 18, 2017 at 6:38 pm

    Nor me, souls and bowls of pottage come to mind.
    Pity humanity is so predictable.

  10. April 18, 2017 at 8:26 pm

    JL: Nor is it reasonable to trust any of the lot.There is another element to consider. Labour have effectively collapsed. Tone Bliar turned it into a metropolitan party with little connexion to its working class origins. Scotland’s repudiation of the lot was the first blow, as the Copeland by-election has down, political certainties in Northern England are no longer quite so certain — and the Tories are no longer quite as hated as they were in decades past. If fisheries are handled well, and the UK can point to Iceland and Norway to show that the EU has allowed other countries formal access to the Common Market without their giving up control of the fisheries, the Tories might well gain a number of northern coastal seats. Political opportunism is just as rank as financial greed. After all, being remembered as the PM that fostered the most profound political realignment in generations — in her party’s favour — would hardly be a bad legacy for the delightful Mrs May.

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