I wonder what odds a bookie would give me for a bet on Christchurch NZ not existing within ten/twenty years?
I did posit some months ago that they would do well to move the city re the geology plus tectonics but was dismissed in pretty short order as ‘not knowing what I was talking about’. Seems the exodus has already started. One tenth of the population has already left. With this new round of earthquakes destroying the relaid sewers etc etc it is only a matter of time before any rebuilding will fail to get any takers for insurance risks. Who will rebuild traditional style at their own risk? Not many.
I rather think that they have moved over a hot spot, ie the land mass has gone to the right and is now unfortunately situated over an effective ‘cauldron’. This seems to happen all over the world, by studying caldera of previous eruptions and earthquakes, they move, albeit slowly over the aeons. But it is in fact not the hot spots moving but the granitic continents above drifting about like scum on strawberry jam. The movements are not random, they are moving back in a pendulum style movement together as in the old land mass of Gondwanaland. This can be seen quite clearly in Yellowstone and some parts of Indonesia.
Interesting subject, but I would cut my losses if I lived in Christchurch! More to life than rebuilding the town every five minutes. I don’t think it is going to stop any time soon. Or else they had better start building to Japanese code standards.


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